5 Comments

I'll repeat here what I said regarding the Murati on Linkedin: Trick I was taught many, many moons ago by an experience CI officer: when you run the clip, hold your hand on the screen so that all you see are her eyes. Try it, and make up your own mind about her degree of candor.

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Mar 17Liked by Brian Merchant

Great writeup - similar to what Gerben said, from what i can tell it doesnt totally feel like malicious hype train buildup to me (not that i'm in the trenches and can say for sure) - at least not at base concept - but certainly seems like a way to capitalize on the current wave of tech hype.

The anecdote i heard was that VC's had a vested interest in starting a new hype wave in that post-covid dip where nobody was spending money; causing a problem for the VC firms with their own investors that want to see returns.

VC's were supposedly just sitting on this money because they didnt know if there was going to be a recession and this technology seemed to come out at the same time that they needed something to pump. Not sure if this matches up with anything you've heard, you'd probably have an easier time finding out than anyone like me would.

Additionally, i've heard that the outcome of these copyright lawsuits might not be decided for several years. Heard anything similar to that effect?

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Mar 16Liked by Brian Merchant

Good piece. My only pause is when I read a fragment like "which is why, perhaps, OpenAI and the generative AI cohort felt they had to amp the hype dial up to 11 in the first place, to try to brute force a skeptical public into beholding the wonder and power of technical systems [...]". Hanlon's Razor may apply here, I suspect. The Sutskevers, Hintons, etc. of this world probably believe (like the Minskys, Hofstadters, etc. of previous waves did of their technologies) that their approach is a way to AGI. Altman is observably shifty, so is more suspect of intentionally misleading. Seeing a conspiracy of evil is (Hanlon, Bonhoeffer) a risk if one is analysing.

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Mar 16Liked by Brian Merchant

Hope this is it, but even if the lawsuits are successful and OpenAI and its peers are forced to approach GenAI model training with more ethical methods and with licensed data, I fear that Open source models keep perpetuating the appropriation of creative work.

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